Prototype · Regional forecast

Westland forecast

A regional early-warning forecast for the Dutch Westland greenhouse cluster — synthetic whitefly, thrips and aphid diffusion scenarios with hotspots, uncertainty cones and a weather window.

Scenario model · synthetic data
At-risk greenhouses 48 Whitefly scenario, day 10
Intensifying cells 0 Hotspot class rising
Mean trap count 0 Yellow sticky cards / week
Wind vector KNMI-style direction + speed

Hotspot map

Spatio-temporal diffusion surface

New hot spot Intensifying Persistent Diminishing Historical Optimistic cone Expected Worst-case
Wind SW → NE · 4.8 m/s Kernel density + hotspot grid + uncertainty cone

Scenario

Scenario controls

Pest scenario
Crop segment
Days since first detection
Day 10
Temperature profile
Wind direction and speed
Intervention scenario
Forecast horizon
14 days
Map overlays

Situation report

One-click PDF export

Generate a printable 2-page report from the current day, intervention, wind and temperature settings.

Scenario logic

Whitefly pressure begins in the Naaldwijk glasshouse cluster, then diffuses downwind while trap counts rise fastest under warm, humid conditions.

Fictional forecast

Weather window alongside pest diffusion

Day 10 · favorable whitefly window

Temporal signal

Forecast trap count and hotspot area

42 active records

Decision story

Intervention strategy comparison

Early release contains the smallest hotspot area

Assumption check: the favorable scenario uses 24 °C and 78% RH because published greenhouse whitefly phenology places maximum population growth near 24 °C, while Encarsia formosa is commonly described as most effective around 21–26 °C and 50–80% RH.

Incident feed

Latest filtered greenhouse reports

Greenhouse ID Crop stage Trap count Biocontrol Risk KNMI-style weather